The upcoming Ugunja Constituency by-election is shaping up to be a closely contested affair, according to a recent Voters Tracking Survey conducted by CoRGAfrica. The survey, which polled a representative sample of registered voters, reveals a clear frontrunner but also highlights the presence of strong contenders battling for the seat.
The survey data indicates that the race is primarily between three leading aspirants:
Eng. Fredrick ZB Owino: Projected to win with 38% of the vote, showcasing a strong lead.
Moses Omondi: Following closely behind at 21.9%, presenting a significant challenge.
Hon. Otieno Alur: Securing a respectable third place with approximately 18% of voter support.
While these three candidates appear to be the main contenders, other aspirants are also vying for the Ugunja seat. Hon. Fred Oyugi Dor, the self-proclaimed Chairman of UDA Siaya County, comes in fourth with 6% of the projected vote. Other aspirants, including the only female candidate in the race, are currently polling below 1%.
| Aspirant | Projected Vote Share (%) |
| Eng. Fredrick ZB Owino | 38% |
| Moses Omondi | 21.9% |
| Hon. Otieno Alur | 18% |
| Hon. Oyugi Dor | 6% |
| Other Aspirants | <1% |
It’s important to note that these are projected figures based on the CoRGAfrica’s Voters Tracking Survey and are subject to change as the election draws nearer. Voter turnout, campaign strategies, and unforeseen events could all influence the final outcome.
The survey results suggest a highly competitive by-election in Ugunja. Eng. Fredrick ZB Owino’s current lead indicates strong momentum, but Moses Omondi and Ho. Otieno Alur’s significant support bases mean the race is far from over.
With the by-elections approaching, the Ugunja Constituency race is shaping up to be a contest primarily among three leading candidates, with Eng. Fredrick ZB Owino holding a notable advantage based on current voter tracking.
Aspirant Ho. Fredrick ZB Owino
